COVID: superiority of contact-tracing, epidemiol musings
A new article confirmed reasonably conclusively what was pretty obvious from the epidemiology we know so far about SARS-CoV-2: contact tracing is superior to identifying cases through symptomatic surveillance in terms of decreasing transmission ( see covid contact tracing vs sx LancetID2020 in dropbox, or doi.org/10.1016/S1473-3099(20)30287-5) Details: -- after the outbreak in Wuhan, China, the Shenzen Center for Disease Control and Prevention, in a retrospective analysis, identified 391 SARS-CoV-2 cases and 1286 close contacts, from January 14 to February 12 (this is a secondary site, away from Wuhan, Hubei province). 1 st person identified of symptomatic Covid-19 in Shenzen was January 8 -- compared cases identified through symptomatic surveillance vs contact-tracing, estimating the time from symptom onset to confirmation of Covid-19, isolation of case, and admission to the hospital -- contact-based surveillance vs symptomatic surveillance: mean age 45, 7...